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Is Contagion in the Eye of the Beholder?


  • Mark Mink


Empirical research on contagion between international stock markets generally focuses on market returns converted to US dollars, as this would be consistent with the perspective of an international investor. This note argues that such a conversion is inappropriate, since only returns denominated in local currencies accurately reflect supply and demand in national stock markets. When these returns are converted to a common currency they are also affected by exchange rate fluctuations, which leads to biased results as is illustrated using an example from the sub-prime crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Mark Mink, 2009. "Is Contagion in the Eye of the Beholder?," DNB Working Papers 234, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
  • Handle: RePEc:dnb:dnbwpp:234

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    1. Geert Bekaert & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Arnaud Mehl, 2014. "The Global Crisis and Equity Market Contagion," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 69(6), pages 2597-2649, December.
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    8. Mierau, Jochen O. & Mink, Mark, 2013. "Are stock market crises contagious? The role of crisis definitions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 4765-4776.
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    18. Baur, Dirk & Schulze, Niels, 2005. "Coexceedances in financial markets--a quantile regression analysis of contagion," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 6(1), pages 21-43, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mierau, Jochen O. & Mink, Mark, 2013. "Are stock market crises contagious? The role of crisis definitions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 4765-4776.
    2. repec:eee:phsmap:v:490:y:2018:i:c:p:1555-1574 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Baumöhl, Eduard & Kočenda, Evžen & Lyócsa, Štefan & Výrost, Tomáš, 2018. "Networks of volatility spillovers among stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 1555-1574.
    4. Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Shamsuddin, Abul, 2016. "International contagion through financial versus non-financial firms," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 143-163.
    5. Gannon, Gerard L. & Thuraisamy, Kannan S., 2017. "Sovereign risk and the impact of crisis: Evidence from Latin AmericaAuthor-Name: Batten, Jonathan A," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 328-350.
    6. repec:eee:finlet:v:22:y:2017:i:c:p:163-168 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Chang, Guang-Di & Chen, Chia-Shih, 2014. "Evidence of contagion in global REITs investment," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 148-158.
    8. repec:eee:ememar:v:32:y:2017:i:c:p:1-27 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Jiang, Junhua, 2017. "Discount rate or cash flow contagion? Evidence from the recent financial crises," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 315-326.
    10. Roman Horváth & Štefan Lyócsa & Eduard Baumöhl, 2016. "Stock Market Contagion in Central and Eastern Europe: Unexpected Volatility and Extreme Co-exceedance," Working Papers 357, Leibniz Institut für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung (Institute for East and Southeast European Studies).

    More about this item


    Stock Market Contagion; Exchange Rates; Sub-prime Crisis.;

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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