DELFI : DNB's Macroeconomic Policy Model of the Netherlands
This Occasional Study presents DELFI, a new macroeconomic model of the Dutch economy for forecasting and policy analysis. Macroeconomic modelling at de Nederlandsche Bank started some 25 years ago, when Martin Fase and his team built MORKMON, which was quite novel at the time due to the inclusion of a monetary sector. For many years, this model was used fruitfully as an instrument for forecasting, scenario analysis and policy simulation, and its acronym survived during all those years. But the times have changed and so has the economic environment. Already when MORKMON was introduced in 1984, the then president of de Nederlandsche Bank, Wim Duisenberg, noted how our understanding of the economy is never perfect. Indeed, changes in the economic environment and new insights led to various minor and major adjustments to the structure of MORKMON, up to a point where it was decided to build a completely new model. DELFI is the result of a collective effort by researchers and statisticians at the Economics & Research Division of de Nederlandsche Bank. In my view, the team has created a worthy successor of MORKMON. And while history learns that a model is never perfect or finished, I am confident ELFI is in a position to take over the prominent position that MORKMON had so many years within the set of analytical instruments of de Nederlandsche Bank.
|Date of creation:||Feb 2011|
|Date of revision:|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: Postbus 98, 1000 AB Amsterdam|
Web page: http://www.dnb.nl/en/
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