DELFI : DNB's Macroeconomic Policy Model of the Netherlands
This Occasional Study presents DELFI, a new macroeconomic model of the Dutch economy for forecasting and policy analysis. Macroeconomic modelling at de Nederlandsche Bank started some 25 years ago, when Martin Fase and his team built MORKMON, which was quite novel at the time due to the inclusion of a monetary sector. For many years, this model was used fruitfully as an instrument for forecasting, scenario analysis and policy simulation, and its acronym survived during all those years. But the times have changed and so has the economic environment. Already when MORKMON was introduced in 1984, the then president of de Nederlandsche Bank, Wim Duisenberg, noted how our understanding of the economy is never perfect. Indeed, changes in the economic environment and new insights led to various minor and major adjustments to the structure of MORKMON, up to a point where it was decided to build a completely new model. DELFI is the result of a collective effort by researchers and statisticians at the Economics & Research Division of de Nederlandsche Bank. In my view, the team has created a worthy successor of MORKMON. And while history learns that a model is never perfect or finished, I am confident ELFI is in a position to take over the prominent position that MORKMON had so many years within the set of analytical instruments of de Nederlandsche Bank.
|Date of creation:||Feb 2011|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: Postbus 98, 1000 AB Amsterdam|
Web page: http://www.dnb.nl/en/
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- Rainer Klump & Peter McAdam & Alpo Willman, 2004.
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- Marco Hoeberichts & Ad Stokman, 2005.
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DNB Working Papers
073, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
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- Robert-Paul Berben & Kerstin Bernoth & Mauro Mastrogiacomo, 2007.
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IFC Bulletins chapters,
in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Proceedings of the IFC Conference on "Measuring the financial position of the household sector", Basel, 30-31 August 2006 - Volume 1, volume 25, pages 145-160
Bank for International Settlements.
- Mauro Mastrogiacomo & R.P. Berben & K. Bernoth, 2006. "Households' response to wealth changes; do gains or losses make a difference," CPB Discussion Paper 63, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
- Robert Paul Berben & Kerstin Bernoth & Mauro Mastrogiacomo, 2006. "Households' Response to Wealth Changes: Do Gains or Losses make a Difference?," DNB Working Papers 090, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
- van der Werf, Edwin, 2008.
"Production functions for climate policy modeling: An empirical analysis,"
Elsevier, vol. 30(6), pages 2964-2979, November.
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- Bergin, Paul R. & Feenstra, Robert C., 2000. "Staggered price setting, translog preferences, and endogenous persistence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 657-680, June.
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