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DELFI : DNB's Macroeconomic Policy Model of the Netherlands

  • DNB
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    This Occasional Study presents DELFI, a new macroeconomic model of the Dutch economy for forecasting and policy analysis. Macroeconomic modelling at de Nederlandsche Bank started some 25 years ago, when Martin Fase and his team built MORKMON, which was quite novel at the time due to the inclusion of a monetary sector. For many years, this model was used fruitfully as an instrument for forecasting, scenario analysis and policy simulation, and its acronym survived during all those years. But the times have changed and so has the economic environment. Already when MORKMON was introduced in 1984, the then president of de Nederlandsche Bank, Wim Duisenberg, noted how our understanding of the economy is never perfect. Indeed, changes in the economic environment and new insights led to various minor and major adjustments to the structure of MORKMON, up to a point where it was decided to build a completely new model. DELFI is the result of a collective effort by researchers and statisticians at the Economics & Research Division of de Nederlandsche Bank. In my view, the team has created a worthy successor of MORKMON. And while history learns that a model is never perfect or finished, I am confident ELFI is in a position to take over the prominent position that MORKMON had so many years within the set of analytical instruments of de Nederlandsche Bank.

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    File URL: http://www.dnb.nl/en/binaries/DELFI_tcm47-247496.pdf
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    Paper provided by Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department in its series DNB Occasional Studies with number 901.

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    Date of creation: Feb 2011
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    Handle: RePEc:dnb:dnbocs:901
    Contact details of provider: Postal: Postbus 98, 1000 AB Amsterdam
    Web page: http://www.dnb.nl/en/

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    1. repec:ner:tilbur:urn:nbn:nl:ui:12-383721 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Robert Paul Berben & Kerstin Bernoth & Mauro Mastrogiacomo, 2006. "Households' Response to Wealth Changes: Do Gains or Losses make a Difference?," DNB Working Papers 090, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    3. Bergin, Paul R. & Feenstra, Robert C., 2000. "Staggered price setting, translog preferences, and endogenous persistence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 657-680, June.
    4. Marco Hoeberichts & Ad Stokman, 2005. "Price Setting Behaviour in the Netherlands: Results of a Survey," DNB Working Papers 073, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    5. Edwin van der Werf, 2007. "Production Functions for Climate Policy Modeling: An Empirical Analysis," Kiel Working Papers 1316, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    6. Rainer Klump & Peter McAdam & Alpo Willman, 2004. "Factor Substitution and Factor Augmenting Technical Progress in the US: A Normalized Supply-Side System Approach," DEGIT Conference Papers c009_030, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
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