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Business cycle indexes: does a heap of data help?

  • Inklaar, Robert
  • Jacobs, Jan
  • Romp, Ward

    (Groningen University)

Business cycle indexes are used to get a timely and frequent description of the state of the economy and its likely development in the near future. This paper discusses two methods for constructing business cycle indexes, the traditional NBER method and a recently developed dynamic factor model, and compares these methods for the euro area. The results suggest that a reliable indicator can be constructed from a limited number of series that are selected using economic logic.

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File URL: http://irs.ub.rug.nl/ppn/258652365
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Paper provided by University of Groningen, CCSO Centre for Economic Research in its series CCSO Working Papers with number 200312.

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Date of creation: 2003
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:dgr:rugccs:200312
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  1. n/a, 2002. "Credibility of the Russian Stabilisation Programme in 1995-98," NIESR Discussion Papers 149, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
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