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Identification of strategic industries: a dynamic perspective

  • Los, Bart

    (Groningen University)

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Reliable estimates of the economy-wide losses associated with closedown of an industry are generally hard to obtain. In the input-output literature, numerous measures of the social value of industries were proposed. These measures are mostly based on comparative statics results, whereas a dynamic perspective seems much more in demand. In this paper, "hypothetical extraction" methods are used in a new dynamic input-output model of economic growth. This model also stresses the importance of technological linkages between industries and of international trade performance. The potential power of the dynamic extraction methodology is illustrated by simulation results for a hypothetical economy.

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File URL: http://irs.ub.rug.nl/ppn/241144418
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Paper provided by University of Groningen, CCSO Centre for Economic Research in its series CCSO Working Papers with number 200202.

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Date of creation: 2002
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Handle: RePEc:dgr:rugccs:200202
Contact details of provider: Postal: PO Box 800, 9700 AV Groningen
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Web page: http://ccso.eldoc.ub.rug.nl/
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  1. Bart Los & Bart Verspagen, 2000. "R&D spillovers and productivity: Evidence from U.S. manufacturing microdata," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 127-148.
  2. ten Raa, Thijs & Wolff, Edward N., 2000. "Engines of growth in the US economy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 473-489, December.
  3. Erik Dietzenbacher & Alex R. Hoen & Bart Los, 2000. "Labor Productivity in Western Europe 1975-1985: An Intercountry, Interindustry Analysis," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(3), pages 425-452.
  4. Bart Los, 2001. "Endogenous Growth and Structural Change in a Dynamic Input-Output Model," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 3-34.
  5. Robert Stehrer, 2001. "Industrial specialisation, trade, and labour market dynamics in a multisectoral model of technological progress," Economics working papers 2001-02, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
  6. Bart Los & Bart Verspagen, 2006. "The Evolution Of Productivity Gaps And Specialization Patterns," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(4), pages 464-493, November.
  7. Dietzenbacher, Erik, 1992. "The measurement of interindustry linkages : Key sectors in the Netherlands," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 419-437, October.
  8. Keld Laursen & Valentina Meliciani, 2002. "The relative importance of international vis-ý-vis national technological spillovers for market share dynamics," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press, vol. 11(4), pages 875-894, August.
  9. Jan Fagerberg, 1999. "The Economic Challenge for Europe: Adapting to Innovation-Based Growth," Working Papers 2, Centre for Technology, Innovation and Culture, University of Oslo.
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