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Taking into account extreme events in European option pricing

  • Idier, Julien
  • Jardet, Caroline
  • Le Fol, Gaëlle
  • Monfort, Alain
  • Pegoraro, Fulvio

According to traditional option pricing models, financial markets underestimate the impact of tail risk. In this article, we put forward a European option pricing model based on a set of assumptions that ensure, inter alia, that extreme events are better taken into account. Using simulations, we compare the option prices obtained from the standard Black and Scholes model with those resulting from our model. We show that the traditional model leads to an overvaluation of at-the-money options, which are the most traded options, while the less liquid in-the-money and out-of-the-money options are undervalued.

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Paper provided by Paris Dauphine University in its series Economics Papers from University Paris Dauphine with number 123456789/5390.

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Date of creation: Oct 2008
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Publication status: Published in Financial Stability Review, 2008, no. 12. pp. 39-51.Length: 12 pages
Handle: RePEc:dau:papers:123456789/5390
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