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The Determinants of the Time to Efficiency in Options Markets : A Survival Analysis Approach

  • Riva, Fabrice
  • Deville, Laurent

This paper examines the determinants of the time it takes for an index options marketto be brought back to efficiency after put-call parity deviations, using intraday transactionsdata from the French CAC 40 index options over the August 2000 – July 2001 period. Weaddress this issue through survival analysis which allows us to characterize how differencesin market conditions influence the expected time before the market reaches the no-arbitragerelationship. We find that maturity, trading volume as well as trade imbalances in call andput options, and volatility are important in understanding why some arbitrage opportunitiesdisappear faster than others. After controlling for differences in the trading environnement,we find a strong and negative relationship between the existence of ETFs on the index andthe time to efficiency.

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Paper provided by Paris Dauphine University in its series Economics Papers from University Paris Dauphine with number 123456789/2397.

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Date of creation: May 2006
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Handle: RePEc:dau:papers:123456789/2397
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  1. Merton, Robert C, 1973. "The Relationship Between Put and Call Option Prices: Comment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 28(1), pages 183-84, March.
  2. Finucane, Thomas J., 1991. "Put-Call Parity and Expected Returns," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(04), pages 445-457, December.
  3. Kamara, Avraham & Miller, Thomas W., 1995. "Daily and Intradaily Tests of European Put-Call Parity," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(04), pages 519-539, December.
  4. Andrew W. Lo & A. Craig MacKinlay & June Zhang, . "Econometric Models of Limit-Order Executions," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 12-99, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
  5. Parkinson, Michael, 1980. "The Extreme Value Method for Estimating the Variance of the Rate of Return," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 53(1), pages 61-65, January.
  6. Evnine, Jeremy & Rudd, Andrew, 1985. " Index Options: The Early Evidence," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 40(3), pages 743-56, July.
  7. Stoll, Hans R, 1969. "The Relationship between Put and Call Option Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 24(5), pages 801-24, December.
  8. Kiefer, Nicholas M, 1988. "Economic Duration Data and Hazard Functions," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 26(2), pages 646-79, June.
  9. Gould, J. P. & Galai, D., 1974. "Transactions costs and the relationship between put and call prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(2), pages 105-129, July.
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