Retirement decision under uncertainty: the role of irreversibility
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the effect of the irreversibility of the retirement decision on labour supply after 60. According to the theory, when the retirement decision is an absorbing state, people tend to remain longer on the labour market to be able to benefit from changes in preferences or economic environment favourable to participation. Simulations performed on a sample of individuals with heterogeneous careers illustrate this result. When pensions schemes are actuarially fair, the irreversibility of the retirement decision leads to higher participation rates in the first years when retirement is allowed. Moreover labour supply around 60 increases with uncertainty. Simulations show that the impact of an increase in uncertainty on participation rates highly depends on the pension schemes. Whereas the effect is sensitive with actuarially fair systems, it is almost insignificant in the French Institutional setting where individual choices are highly constrained by the rules.
|Date of creation:||2001|
|Date of revision:|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: 15 Boulevard Gabriel Peri 92244 Malakoff Cedex|
Phone: 01 41 17 50 50
Web page: http://www.insee.fr
More information through EDIRC
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Alan L. Gustman & Thomas L. Steinmeier, 1983.
"A Structural Retirement Model,"
NBER Working Papers
1237, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- repec:adr:anecst:y:2000:i:57:p:01 is not listed on IDEAS
- Lillard, Lee A & Willis, Robert J, 1978.
"Dynamic Aspects of Earning Mobility,"
Econometric Society, vol. 46(5), pages 985-1012, September.
- Didier Blanchet & Louis-Paul Pele, 1997.
"Social Security and Retirement in France,"
NBER Working Papers
6214, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- repec:crs:wpaper:9916 is not listed on IDEAS
- Henry, Claude, 1974. "Investment Decisions Under Uncertainty: The "Irreversibility Effect."," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 64(6), pages 1006-12, December.
- Arrondel, L. & Masson, A. & Verger, D., 1997. "Comportements face au risque et à l'avenir : une enquête méthodologique," DELTA Working Papers 97-29, DELTA (Ecole normale supérieure).
- John Rust, 1987.
"A Dynamic Programming Model of Retirement Behavior,"
NBER Working Papers
2470, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- John P. Rust, 1989. "A Dynamic Programming Model of Retirement Behavior," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Aging, pages 359-404 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- R. Mahieu & B. Sédillot, 2000. "Microsimulations of the retirement decision: a supply side approach," Documents de Travail de la DESE - Working Papers of the DESE g2000-07, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, DESE.
- Vincent P. Crawford & David M. Lilien, 1981. "Social Security and the Retirement Decision," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 96(3), pages 505-529.
- John Rust & Christopher Phelan, 1994.
"How Social Security and Medicare Affect Retirement Behavior in a World of Incomplete Markets,"
9406005, EconWPA, revised 06 Jul 1994.
- John Rust & Christopher Phelan, 1997. "How Social Security and Medicare Affect Retirement Behavior in a World of Incomplete Markets," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 65(4), pages 781-832, July.
- Rust, J., 1994. "How Social Security and Medicare Affect Retirement Behavior in a World of Incomplete Markets," Working papers 9430, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems.
- Jérôme Bourdieu & Benoît Coeuré & Béatrice Sédillot, 1997. "Investissement, incertitude et irréversibilité. Quelques développements récents de la théorie de l'investissement," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 48(1), pages 23-53.
- Thierry Magnac & David Thesmar, 1999. "Identifying Dynamic Discrete Choice Models : An Application to School-Leaving in France," Working Papers 99-16, Centre de Recherche en Economie et Statistique.
- Marc Baudry, 2000. "Le modèle de préservation de l'environnement de ARROW et FISHER : une approche en terme d'options réelles," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 57, pages 1-24.
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:crs:wpdeee:g2001-06. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (D3E)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.