Aggregate Consumer's Expenditure and Income
The following question is analyzed: under what circumstances can one a stable (i.e., time invariant) functional relationship which links aggregate consumption in period t with aggregate income in period t and another "determinants" of consumtion that refer to periods prior to period t and can be derived from observable distributions of households' characteristics ? The basic hypothesis on which our model is built is the hypothes of a "structurally stable" evolution. This hypothesis has good empirical support. The proposed dynamic model of consumer's expenditure implies implies the observed regularities of aggregate consumption and income data such as the high linear association of aggregate income and consumption for short-run time series. The compatibility of our model with empirical data and its predictive power is discussed using time- series of cross-section data, the U.K. Family Expenditure Survey from 1968 to 84.
|Length:||40 pages plus pictures|
|Date of creation:||Oct 1994|
|Date of revision:|
|Note:||This paper consists of two parts, the first is the written part and the second are the graphs which belong to the written part and without which the written part is not understandable. The graph part ist available under the URL ftp://hannibal.econ3.uni-bonn.de/sfb- papers/with2/sfb_a456/ It will be needed a free space of approx. 20 MByte on the harddisk. If there occur any problems please don't hesitate to contact us via e-mail firstname.lastname@example.org .|
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