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Fiscal policy and regional output volatility : Evidence from Russia


  • Eller, Markus
  • Fidrmuc, Jarko
  • Fungáčová, Zuzana


This paper investigates the relationship between fiscal policy and output volatility in Russian regions between 2000 and 2009. System GMM estimation techniques are used to account for potential endogeneity between output volatility and fiscal developments. Our main finding is that fiscal activism, proxied by various measures of discretionary fiscal policy, contributes to output volatility and so induces macroeconomic instability at the regional level in Russia. This result corroborates previous studies using cross-country data. To reduce business cycle fluctuations, it would be necessary to curtail pro-cyclical fiscal activism at the regional level, e.g. via fiscal rules and sound institutions of fiscal federalism. JEL Codes: E32, E62, R11. Keywords: output volatility, automatic stabilizers, discretionary fiscal policy, dynamic panel models, Russia

Suggested Citation

  • Eller, Markus & Fidrmuc, Jarko & Fungáčová, Zuzana, 2013. "Fiscal policy and regional output volatility : Evidence from Russia," BOFIT Discussion Papers 13/2013, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
  • Handle: RePEc:bof:bofitp:2013_013

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    Cited by:

    1. Jarko Fidrmuc & Zuzana Fungáčová & Laurent Weill, 2015. "Does Bank Liquidity Creation Contribute to Economic Growth? Evidence from Russia," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 26(3), pages 479-496, July.
    2. repec:bof:bofitp:urn:nbn:fi:bof-201503111110 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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