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Analyzing Bangladesh’s Debt Sustainability Using SimSIP Debt


  • Bernhard G. Gunter

    () (Bangladesh Development Research Center (BDRC))

  • A. F. M. Ataur Rahman

    (Department of Economics, North South University, Dhaka)


The ability to pay for a government-led investment strategy to achieve the millennium development goals (MDGs) is determined by the resources available to the government through economic growth, taxation, loans, and grants. Unsustainable public debts increase poverty directly through negative impacts on economic growth as well as indirectly through cuts in spending. Hence, the issue of fiscal debt sustainability is critical for achieving the MDGs. In this paper, we use the debt projection module of SimSIP Debt to project the evolution of Bangladesh’s public debt over a 15-year horizon (from fiscal year 2006 to fiscal year 2021) under three different macroeconomic scenarios and two different financing scenarios of an ambitious government-led investment strategy.

Suggested Citation

  • Bernhard G. Gunter & A. F. M. Ataur Rahman, 2008. "Analyzing Bangladesh’s Debt Sustainability Using SimSIP Debt," Bangladesh Development Research Working Paper Series (BDRWPS) BDRWPS No. 2, Bangladesh Development Research Center (BDRC).
  • Handle: RePEc:bnr:wpaper:2

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. berlage, Lodewijk & cassimon, Danny & dreze, Jacques & Reding, Paul, 2003. "Prospective Aid and Indebtedness Relief: A Proposal," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 31(10), pages 1635-1654, October.
    2. Bernhard G. Gunter, 2002. "What’s Wrong with the HIPC Initiative and What’s Next?," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 20(1), pages 5-24, March.
    3. Bernhard G. Gunter, 2001. "Does the HIPC Initiative Achieve its Goal of Debt Sustainability?," WIDER Working Paper Series DP2001-100, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    4. Gunter, Bernhard G. & Rahman, Jesmin & Wodon, Quentin, 2008. "Robbing Peter to Pay Paul? Understanding Who Pays for Debt Relief," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 1-16, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sayeed, Yeasmin, 2014. "Trade-offs in Achieving Human Development Goals for Bangladesh," Working Papers 2014:6, Örebro University, School of Business.
    2. Shah, Md. Mahmud Hasan & Pervin, Shahida, 2012. "External public debt and economic growth: empirical evidence from Bangladesh, 1974 to 2010," MPRA Paper 55407, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item


    Bangladesh; debt sustainability; aid;


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