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Extension of ProFamy Model to Project Elderly Disability Status and Home-Based Care Costs, with an Illustrative Application

Author

Listed:
  • Yi Zeng

    (Duke University, Center for Study of Aging and Human Development Medical School
    Peking University, National School of Development Center for Healthy Aging and Development Studies)

  • Kenneth C. Land

    (Duke University, Department of Sociology and Center for Population Health and Aging Population Research Institute)

  • Danan Gu

    (United Nations, Population Division)

  • Zhenglian Wang

    (Duke University, Center for Population Health and Aging Population Research Institute
    Household and Consumption Forecasting, Inc.)

Abstract

In this chapter presents a substantial extension of the ProFamy model by introducing and estimating changes in older adults’ disability status as well as related home-based care costs, with an illustrative application to China. Our extended model combines the projection of family structure, living arrangements, and disability statuses for elders aged 65+ with the projection of family structure and living arrangements for the younger population aged 0–64. The extended model projects not only disability statuses and home-based care needs and costs for older adults, but also age-sex-specific numbers and family household structures of the working-age population, i.e., the caregivers for the disabled elderly.

Suggested Citation

Handle: RePEc:spr:ssdmcp:978-90-481-8906-9_5
DOI: 10.1007/978-90-481-8906-9_5
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