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On Indicators of Possible Inter-Civilization Conflicts" in "Models for Security Policy in the Post-Cold War Era


  • Varshavsky Alexander

    () (Central Economics and Mathematics Institute RAS)

  • Varshavsky Leonid


The authors propose a set of five fundamental parameters that they consider to be indicative of future conflicts. They conclude that there is a high risk for inter-civilization conflicts which will become the major source of global instability in the next century. It would be in the West's self interest to strengthen Russia and the CIS states which belong to the Orient-Christian civilization that shows a high conflict potential vis-a-vis the Islamic and Confucian civilizations at its borders.

Suggested Citation

  • Varshavsky Alexander & Varshavsky Leonid, 1996. "On Indicators of Possible Inter-Civilization Conflicts" in "Models for Security Policy in the Post-Cold War Era," Books of Alexander Varshavsky, Socionet, number e1996-3, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:nos:qjvewn:e1996-3

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    Civilization Inter-civilization conflicts; Models; Indicators;

    JEL classification:

    • A1 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics
    • E0 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General
    • P0 - Economic Systems - - General


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