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The effects of asymmetries and regime switching on optimal futures hedging


  • Hsiang-Tai Lee


This article investigates the effects of asymmetries and regime switching on futures hedging effectiveness by using an asymmetric Markov regime switching BEKK GARCH (ARSBEKK) model. Hedging performance is evaluated from both a risk-minimization and a utility standpoint. Out-of-sample estimates based on Nikkei 225 stock index futures data show that when we take the asymmetric effect into consideration, the hedging effectiveness is improved in both state-dependent and state-independent cases. In sample, we have the best hedging performance when hedge ratios are both state-dependent and asymmetric. Results also show that all dynamic hedging methods considered in this article create utility gains compared to the conventional ordinary least square hedge.

Suggested Citation

  • Hsiang-Tai Lee, 2008. "The effects of asymmetries and regime switching on optimal futures hedging," Applied Financial Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 133-136.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfelt:v:4:y:2008:i:2:p:133-136 DOI: 10.1080/17446540701537780

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Phaup, E Dwight, 1981. "A Reinterpretation of the Modern Theory of Forward Exchange Rates," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 13(4), pages 477-484, November.
    2. Asmara Jamaleh, 2002. "Explaining and forecasting the euro/dollar exchange rate through a non-linear threshold model," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(4), pages 422-448.
    3. Costas Karfakis, 2006. "Is there an empirical link between the dollar price of the euro and the monetary fundamentals?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(13), pages 973-980.
    4. Domenico Sartore & Lucia Trevisan & Michele Trova & Francesca Volo, 2002. "US dollar/Euro exchange rate: a monthly econometric model for forecasting," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(4), pages 480-501.
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