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Structural breaks in financial ratios: evidence for nine international markets

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  • David McMillan

Abstract

Financial ratios have recently reached unprecedented levels and despite price falls remain at ahistoric levels. This is at odds with the theoretical present value model. Whilst, several researchers have attempted to reconcile theory and data using fractional integration and nonlinear techniques, an alternate view is that such ratios do not revert to a single point but exhibit a time-variation in their level. This article, tests for and supports, the belief that financial ratios exhibit structural breaks, or level shifts, through time. As such, the present value model does not hold exactly, but needs to accommodate such shifts. This may also explain apparent contradictory findings in long-horizon return predictability regressions performed over different sample periods.

Suggested Citation

  • David McMillan, 2007. "Structural breaks in financial ratios: evidence for nine international markets," Applied Financial Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 3(6), pages 381-384.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfelt:v:3:y:2007:i:6:p:381-384
    DOI: 10.1080/17446540701262835
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Shyh-Wei & Xie, Zixiong, 2017. "Asymmetric adjustment and smooth breaks in dividend yields: Evidence from international stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 339-354.
    2. McMillan, David G., 2009. "Revisiting dividend yield dynamics and returns predictability: Evidence from a time-varying ESTR model," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 870-883, August.
    3. McMillan, David G., 2013. "Consumption and stock prices: Evidence from a small international panel," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 76-88.
    4. Deyanira Bernal Dom¨ªnguez & Mar¨ªa Luisa Saavedra Garc¨ªa & Lydia Mar¨ªa L¨®pez Barraza, 2014. "Financial Analysis Management of Companies in a Region of Mexico: the Need of a Financial Ratios Annual Directory," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 4, pages 64-78, August.

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