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A Meta-Analysis of the Investment-Uncertainty Relationship

Author

Listed:
  • Mark J. Koetse

    () (VU University Amsterdam, Department of Spatial Economics, De Boelelaan 1105, 1081 HV, Amsterdam, the Netherlands)

  • Henri L.F. de Groot

    () (VU University Amsterdam and Tinbergen Institute, Department of Spatial Economics, De Boelelaan 1105, 1081 HV, Amsterdam, the Netherlands)

  • Raymond J.G.M. Florax

    () (Purdue University, Department of Agricultural Economics, 403 West State Street, West Lafayette, IN 47907, USA, and VU University Amsterdam, Department of Spatial Economics)

Abstract

In this article we use meta-analysis to investigate the investment-uncertainty relationship. We focus on the direction and statistical significance of empirical estimates. Specifically, we estimate an ordered probit model and transform the estimated coefficients into marginal effects to reflect the changes in the probability of finding a significantly negative estimate, an insignificant estimate, or a significantly positive estimate. Exploratory data analysis shows that there is little empirical evidence for a positive relationship. The regression results suggest that the source of uncertainty, the level of data aggregation, the underlying model specification, and differences between short- and long-run effects are important sources of variation in study outcomes. These findings are, by and large, robust to the introduction of a trend variable to capture publication trends in the literature. The probability of finding a significantly negative relationship is higher in more recently published studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Mark J. Koetse & Henri L.F. de Groot & Raymond J.G.M. Florax, 2009. "A Meta-Analysis of the Investment-Uncertainty Relationship," Southern Economic Journal, Southern Economic Association, vol. 76(1), pages 283-306, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:sej:ancoec:v:76:1:y:2009:p:283-306
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    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.4284/sej.2009.76.1.283
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Lazzaroni, Sara & van Bergeijk, Peter A.G., 2014. "Natural disasters' impact, factors of resilience and development: A meta-analysis of the macroeconomic literature," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 333-346.
    2. repec:eee:inteco:v:152:y:2017:i:c:p:26-54 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Mark J. Koetse & Henri L.F. de Groot & Raymond J.G.M. Florax, 2011. "A Meta-Regression Analysis of the Investment–Uncertainty Relationship," Chapters,in: Improving Energy Efficiency through Technology, chapter 7 Edward Elgar Publishing.
    4. Hippolyte W. Balima & Eric G. Kilama & Rene Tapsoba, 2017. "Settling the Inflation Targeting Debate: Lights from a Meta-Regression Analysis," IMF Working Papers 17/213, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Mark Koetse & Raymond Florax & Henri Groot, 2010. "Consequences of effect size heterogeneity for meta-analysis: a Monte Carlo study," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 19(2), pages 217-236, June.
    6. Bumann, Silke & Hermes, Niels & Lensink, Robert, 2013. "Financial liberalization and economic growth: A meta-analysis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 255-281.
    7. Bo, Hong & Driver, Ciaran & Lin, Hsiang-Chun Michael, 2014. "Corporate investment during the financial crisis: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 1-12.
    8. K. Farla, 2014. "Determinants of firms' investment behaviour: a multilevel approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(34), pages 4231-4241, December.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D21 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Theory
    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity

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