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How Options Provided by Storage Affect Electricity Prices

Author

Listed:
  • Lewis Evans

    () (School of Economics and Finance, P.O. Box 600, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand)

  • Graeme Guthrie

    () (School of Economics and Finance, P.O. Box 600, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand)

Abstract

Generators supplying electricity markets are subject to volatile input and output prices and uncertain fuel availability. We show that a price-taking generator will generate only when the output price exceeds its operational marginal cost by the value of the option to delay the use of stored fuel. This option value, which is an increasing function of spot price volatility and the uncertainty about fuel availability, must be considered when evaluating whether market power is present in electricity markets. We calibrate our model to the California electricity market and show the implications of Hurricane Katrina for generators’ offers. The standard approach for simulating electricity supply curves for use in market power evaluations just uses operational marginal cost. Our work demonstrates that operational marginal cost is a lower bound for total short-run marginal cost and may considerably underestimate actual short-run marginal cost even in the complete absence of market power.

Suggested Citation

  • Lewis Evans & Graeme Guthrie, 2009. "How Options Provided by Storage Affect Electricity Prices," Southern Economic Journal, Southern Economic Association, vol. 75(3), pages 681-702, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:sej:ancoec:v:75:3:y:2009:p:681-702
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Fiuza de Bragança, Gabriel Godofredo & Daglish, Toby, 2016. "Can market power in the electricity spot market translate into market power in the hedge market?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 11-26.
    2. Evans, Lewis & Guthrie, Graeme & Lu, Andrea, 2013. "The role of storage in a competitive electricity market and the effects of climate change," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 405-418.
    3. Lewis Evans & Graeme Guthrie, 2012. "An examination of Frank Wolak's model of market power and its application to the New Zealand electricity market," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(1), pages 25-34, December.
    4. Lewis Evans & Seamus Hogan & Peter Jackson, 2012. "A critique of Wolak's evaluation of the NZ electricity market: Introduction and overview," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(1), pages 1-10, November.
    5. de Braganca, Gabriel Fiuza & Daglish, Toby, 2012. "Can market power in the electricity spot market translate into market power in the hedge market?," Working Paper Series 4130, Victoria University of Wellington, The New Zealand Institute for the Study of Competition and Regulation.
    6. Robles, Jack, 2016. "Infinite horizon hydroelectricity games," Working Paper Series 5075, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D4 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design
    • L1 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance
    • L4 - Industrial Organization - - Antitrust Issues and Policies

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