Spatial allocation of future residential land use in the Elbe River Basin
In this paper a scenario study of the residential land-use development in the Elbe River Basin is presented. The study uses an approach that empirically determines suitability maps for the application within a land-use-change model. Recent urbanisation processes are explained in the first step and are used in simulations of future land use in the second step. Binomial logistic regression analysis is applied in an analysis of the location characteristics influencing residential land-use change. Estimation results are adapted and used as weights in the calculation of suitability maps, which consist of the location characteristics of residential land-use change. Including policy maps in suitability calculations allows important spatial restrictions to be accounted for and enables the impact of spatial planning on the allocation of residential developments to be analysed. The suitability maps are further applied to the Land Use Scanner model to simulate spatially explicit residential land-use developments in the Elbe River Basin. Results of this study show that empirically determined suitability maps used in models of land-use change can contribute to the operational use of scenario studies in political discussion support. Considerable differences in applied policy maps in terms of their contribution to the sustainable development of residential and use are discussed.
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pio:envirb:v:37:y:2010:i:5:p:911-928. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Neil Hammond)
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.