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Spatiotemporal traffic-flow dependency and short-term traffic forecasting

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  • Yang Yue
  • Anthony Gar-On Yeh

Abstract

Short-term traffic forecasting is playing an increasing role in modern transport management. Although many short-term traffic forecasting methods have been explored, the spatiotemporal dependency of traffic flow, an important characteristic of traffic dynamics that can benefit the forecasting of traffic changes, is often neglected in short-term traffic forecasting. This paper first investigates the spatiotemporal dependency of traffic flow using cross-correlation analysis and then discusses its implications in terms of traffic forecastability and real-time data effectiveness. This can help us to understand traffic flow, and hence improve the performance of forecasting models.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang Yue & Anthony Gar-On Yeh, 2008. "Spatiotemporal traffic-flow dependency and short-term traffic forecasting," Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, Pion Ltd, London, vol. 35(5), pages 762-771, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:pio:envirb:v:35:y:2008:i:5:p:762-771
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    Cited by:

    1. Tao Cheng & James Haworth & Jiaqiu Wang, 2012. "Spatio-temporal autocorrelation of road network data," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 389-413, October.

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