Climate change and agricultural production: an extensive averaged spatial-ecologic approach
In this paper, the 'extensive averaged spatial-ecologic' approach for assessing the direct impacts of climate change on international agricultural production is developed. The approach allows the temporal impacts of climate change to be determined, measured in terms of the degree of adaptation of the agricultural sector to climate change. Use is made of a world agricultural commodity markets model, constructed with the static World Policy Simulation modelling framework, to determine the combined direct and indirect temporal impacts of an 'enhanced greenhouse effect' climate scenario.
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