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Una aplicación de los modelos de elección discreta al transporte interinsular de pasajeros


  • Ginés Guirao

    (Áreas de Economía Aplicada y de Fundamentos del Análisis Económico. Universidad de La Laguna.)

  • Rosa M. González Marrero

    (Áreas de Economía Aplicada y de Fundamentos del Análisis Económico. Universidad de La Laguna.)

  • Nieves R. Pérez Marante

    (Áreas de Economía Aplicada y de Fundamentos del Análisis Económico. Universidad de La Laguna.)


En este artículo se estima la demanda de transporte a partir de las preferencias que revelan los individuos cuando se enfrentan a la elección del modo de transporte en un contexto interinsular. Se utiliza para ello modelos de elección discreta, específicamente el logit y el probit- que se basan en la teoría de la utilidad aleatoria. El propósito de este trabajo es el de profundizar en los determinantes de la elección de cada modo así como calcular el valor subjetivo del tiempo, el cual constituye un instrumento importante tanto para la predicción de los resultados de las distintas políticas de transporte como para la realización de análisis coste-beneficio. In this paper transport demand is estimated from revealed preference of consumers when they choose among different transport modes in a interinsular context. For this purpose discrete choice models are used -specifically, logit and probit models- based on the random utility theory. The aim of this work is to extend our knowledge about the determinants of the choice among travel modes and to calculate the subjective value of time. This value plays an important role in the prediction of outcomes of different transport policies as well as in its use for cost-benefit analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Ginés Guirao & Rosa M. González Marrero & Nieves R. Pérez Marante, 1995. "Una aplicación de los modelos de elección discreta al transporte interinsular de pasajeros," Estudios de Economía Aplicada, Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 4, pages 71-86, Diciembre.
  • Handle: RePEc:lrk:eeaart:4_3_4

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. McFadden, Daniel, 1974. "The measurement of urban travel demand," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 303-328, November.
    2. Jara-Díaz, Sergio R. & Videla, Jorge, 1989. "Detection of income effect in mode choice: Theory and application," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 23(6), pages 393-400, December.
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    More about this item


    Discrete choice models; Logit model; probit model; marginal utility of income; and value of time;

    JEL classification:

    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise


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