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Dinámicas laborales regionales y su relevancia en el agregado nacional: Una aplicación de Clusterización de Series Temporales para Chile/Regional Labor Dynamics and their Relevance in the National Aggregate: A Time Series Clustering Application for Chile

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  • CHÁVEZ BUSTAMANTE, FELIPE O. G.

    () (Universidad del Desarrollo, Facultad de Economía y Negocios, Ainavillo 456, 4030000, Concepción, Chile.)

  • MONDACA-MARINO, CRISTIAN

    () (Universidad Austral de Chile, Instituto de Economía, Los Laureles nº35 interior, 5110027, Campus Isla Teja, Valdivia Chile.)

  • ROJAS-MORA, JULIO

    () (Universidad Católica de Temuco, Departamento de Ingeniería Informática, Avenida Rudecindo Ortega 02950, 4781312, Campus San Juan Pablo II, Temuco, Chile.)

Abstract

Este trabajo tiene como objetivo analizar el comportamiento de la ocupación en el mercado del trabajo en Chile a nivel regional, determinando las diferencias y similitudes entre regiones, y de las regiones con el agregado de empleo a nivel nacional. Para la realización de dicho trabajo se han utilizado las tasas mensuales de ocupación regionales y a nivel país para el periodo 1986-2010, y utilizado métodos de Clusterización de series temporales para identificar conjuntos de regiones con comportamientos similares. Los resultados muestran la existencia de diferentes regímenes en los mercados laborales de las regiones y el relevante rol de algunas regiones en el comportamiento del agregado nacional. The objective of this work is to analyze the employment behavior in the labor market in Chile at the regional level, determining the differences and similarities between regions, and of the regions with the aggregate employment at the national level. For this work, we studied the monthly regional employment rates during the 1986-2010 period for Chile by applying time series clustering methods to identify regions with similar dynamics. Afterward, we use that information to build a model that explains the contributions from the regional markets to the national aggregate. Results show the existence of regimes on the local labor markets and the relevance of the Metropolitan Region on the country-level behavior.

Suggested Citation

  • Chávez Bustamante, Felipe O. G. & Mondaca-Marino, Cristian & Rojas-Mora, Julio, 2018. "Dinámicas laborales regionales y su relevancia en el agregado nacional: Una aplicación de Clusterización de Series Temporales para Chile/Regional Labor Dynamics and their Relevance in the National Agg," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 36, pages 961-978, Septiembr.
    • Handle: RePEc:lrk:eeaart:36_3_15
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mauricio Gallardo & Hernán Rubio, 2009. "Diagnóstico de estacionalidad con X-12-ARIMA," Economic Statistics Series 76, Central Bank of Chile.
    2. Juan Gabriel Brida & Juan Pereyra & Martín Puchet Anyul & Wiston Adrián Risso, 2011. "Regímenes de desempeño económico y dualismo estructural en la dinámica de las entidades federativas de México, 1970 - 2006," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 1011, Department of Economics - dECON.
    3. Ahlquist, John S. & Breunig, Christian, 2009. "Country clustering in comparative political economy," MPIfG Discussion Paper 09/5, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies.
    4. Alonso, A.M. & Berrendero, J.R. & Hernandez, A. & Justel, A., 2006. "Time series clustering based on forecast densities," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 762-776, November.
    5. Tumminello, Michele & Lillo, Fabrizio & Mantegna, Rosario N., 2010. "Correlation, hierarchies, and networks in financial markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 75(1), pages 40-58, July.
    6. Brida, Juan Gabriel & Garrido, Nicolás & Matesanz Gómez , David, 2015. "Análisis jerárquico de la dinámica económica de las comunidades españolas en el periodo 1955-2009," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 31, pages 121-141.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Mercado Laboral Regional; Clusterización de Series Temporales; Ocupación ; Regional Labor Market; Time Series Clustering; Employment..;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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