IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this article

Volatilitätsprognosen auf Basis der DAX-Volatilitätsindizes


  • Christian Tallau

    (Georg-August-Universität Göttingen, Professur für Finanzwirtschaft, Platz der Göttinger Sieben 3, D-37073 Göttingen)


This article analyses the information content of the volatility indices VDAX and VDAX-NEW published by the German Stock Exchange with respect to forecasts of the volatility of DAX returns realized in future. In a period of 17 years (1992– 2008), the volatility indices are compared with one another as well as with volatility estimates based on historical measures. To this end, the analysis is based on the riskmetrics methodology as well as on a GARCH model besides the historically realized volatility. The results suggest that the VDAX-NEW contains all relevant information on historical returns as well as the VDAX and represents a more efficient estimator of future volatility compared with the VDAX.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Tallau, 2011. "Volatilitätsprognosen auf Basis der DAX-Volatilitätsindizes," Credit and Capital Markets, Credit and Capital Markets, vol. 44(1), pages 47-74.
  • Handle: RePEc:kuk:journl:v:44:y:2011:i:1:p:47-74

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Martin Hellwig, 2009. "Systemic Risk in the Financial Sector: An Analysis of the Subprime-Mortgage Financial Crisis," De Economist, Springer, vol. 157(2), pages 129-207, June.
    2. Hellwig, Martin, 1997. "Unternehmensfinanzierung, Unternehmenskontrolle und Ressourcenallokation: Was leistet das Finanzsystem?," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 97-02, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim;Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim.
    3. Barry Eichengreen, 2009. "From the Asian crisis to the global credit crisis: reforming the international financial architecture redux," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 1-22, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)


    Access and download statistics


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kuk:journl:v:44:y:2011:i:1:p:47-74. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Credit and Capital Markets). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.