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Kreditrestriktionen im Eurogebiet? - Perspektiven der Banker. - Analyse erster Ergebnisse des Bank Lending Survey des Eurosystems


  • Hannah Sabine Hempell

    (Deutsche Bundesbank, Zentralbereich Volkswirtschaft, Wilhelm-Epstein-Straße 14, D-60431 Frankfurt/M.)


Schwaches Kreditwachstum kennzeichnete den Beginn dieses Jahrzehnts im Eurogebiet, vor allem aber weiterhin die Lage in Deutschland, und ging einher mit dem unvermeidbaren, regelmäßigen Auftauchen des Dämons „Kreditklemme“ - nicht nur in der Presse. Neue Informationen über potentielle Kreditrestriktionen bietet der vierteljährliche Bank Lending Survey (BLS) des Eurosystems. Aus den Einzeldaten dieser Umfrage extrahieren wir gemeinsame, treibende Faktoren, die die Veränderung der Kreditstandards und der Nachfrage nach Krediten beeinflussen. Unsere Ergebnisse deuten nicht auf den zuvor erwähnten Dämon, jedoch finden wir gewisse Hinweise auf Kreditrestriktionen.

Suggested Citation

  • Hannah Sabine Hempell, 2007. "Kreditrestriktionen im Eurogebiet? - Perspektiven der Banker. - Analyse erster Ergebnisse des Bank Lending Survey des Eurosystems," Credit and Capital Markets, Credit and Capital Markets, vol. 40(1), pages 59-88.
  • Handle: RePEc:kuk:journl:v:40:y:2007:i:1:p:59-88

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Jochen Lawrenz, 2008. "Assessing the Estimation Uncertainty of Default Probabilities," Credit and Capital Markets, Credit and Capital Markets, pages 217-238.
    2. Hamerle, Alfred & Knapp, Michael & Liebig, Thilo & Wildenauer, Nicole, 2005. "Incorporating prediction and estimation risk in point-in-time credit portfolio models," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies 2005,13, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
    3. Christensen, Jens H.E. & Hansen, Ernst & Lando, David, 2004. "Confidence sets for continuous-time rating transition probabilities," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(11), pages 2575-2602, November.
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