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Ungarns Wirtschaftswachstum von Ungleichgewichten geprägt: ein erneutes Problem mit dem Zwillingsdefizit?

Listed author(s):
  • Johannes Stephan
  • Werner Gnoth

Der Artikel beschäftigt sich mit dem Problem Ungarns, auf einen makroökonomisch stabilen Wachstumspfad einzuschwenken. Seitdem im Jahre 1994 die Entwicklungen des Haushaltsbudgets und der Leistungsbilanz das Land an den Rand einer Krise brachte, wird der weiteren Entwicklung des ungarischen “Zwillingsdefizits“ besondere Beachtung geschenkt. Die Analyse der sich seit 1998 wieder intensivierenden Instabilitäten deutet auf neue Ursachen, welche in ihrer Wirkungsdauer meist nur beschränkt sind und in der Wirtschaftsplanung weitgehend antizipiert wurden. Damit ist aus heutiger Sicht eine erneute krisenhafte Entwicklung in Ungarn nicht zu erwarten.

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Article provided by Halle Institute for Economic Research in its journal Wirtschaft im Wandel.

Volume (Year): 5 (1999)
Issue (Month): 8 ()
Pages: 10-16

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Handle: RePEc:iwh:iwhwiw:8-99-3
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