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Impact Of Global Financial Shock To International Bank Lending In Indonesia

Author

Listed:
  • Tumpak Silalahi
  • Wahyu Ari Wibowo
  • Linda Nurliana

    (Bank Indonesia)

Abstract

This study intends to determine whether a shock that occurred in developed countries, the source of funding, was transmitted to Indonesia through international bank lending both directly and indirectly. The methods used estimated the determinants of international bank lending. International bank lending is one form of capital flows that have the potential for rapid reversal and that can lead to a financial crisis as it has in the past. Understanding the determinants of bank lending is important as it can be used to mitigate the impact of a financial crisis in the future. The empirical results showed that international bank lending, either directly or indirectly, contributed to the Indonesian crisis. During the shock, Indonesia saw global banking contract financing. It was also found that credit activities by foreign affiliates in Indonesia saw a contraction in the country of the parent bank during the shock. However, it was found that the bank lending by foreign affiliates, as joint ventureswere more stable compared to the branch offices of a foreign bank. In aggregate, international bank lending is affected by push and pulls factors such as economic growth (in developed countries and Indonesia), risk factors, and liquidity conditions, both in Indonesia and globally. As for micro-banking models, other than the push and pull factors, the bank balance sheet and other portfolio assets also affected bank lending activities to Indonesia.

Suggested Citation

  • Tumpak Silalahi & Wahyu Ari Wibowo & Linda Nurliana, 2012. "Impact Of Global Financial Shock To International Bank Lending In Indonesia," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 15(2), pages 1-38, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:idn:journl:v:15:y:2012:i:2:p:1-38
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v15i2.63
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    Cited by:

    1. Berry A. Harahap & Pakasa Bary & Anggita Cinditya M. Kusuma, 2020. "The Determinants of Indonesia’s Business Cycle," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(special i), pages 215-235.
    2. Padhan, Rakesh & Prabheesh, K.P., 2020. "Business cycle synchronization: Disentangling direct and indirect effect of financial integration in the Indian context," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 272-287.
    3. Bayront Yudit Rumondor & Pakasa Bary, 2020. "Capital Flows and Bank Risk-Taking Behavior: Evidence From Indonesia," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(special i), pages 33-53.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Global Financial Shocks; Foreign Affiliates; International Bank Lending; transmission path; dynamic panel.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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