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Penyebab Bank Runs di Indonesia: Bad Luck atau Fundamental?

Author

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  • Iskandar Simorangkir

    (Bank Indonesia)

Abstract

Bank runs and banking crisis has been a global cycling phenomenon both in developed and developing countries. This paper provide comprehensive analysis of the bank run determinant in Indonesia, including the economic fundamental, bank performance and self fulfilling prophecy during the period of 1990-2005, using the dynamic panel estimation of Arrelano-Bond. The Result shows that the self-fulfilling prophecy, bank performance (rentability, non performing loan) and macroeconomic condition (output growth, inflation and real interest rate), determine the bank runs in Indonesia. This conclusion is robust both for the sample period of 1997-1998 and 1990-2005.

Suggested Citation

  • Iskandar Simorangkir, 2011. "Penyebab Bank Runs di Indonesia: Bad Luck atau Fundamental?," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 14(1), pages 1-28, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:idn:journl:v:14:y:2011:i:1:p:1-28
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v14i1.456
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    Cited by:

    1. Yulita Wulandari & Musdholifah & Suhal Kusairi, 2017. "The Impact of Macroeconomic and Internal Factors on Banking Distress," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 429-436.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bank runs; banking crisis; dynamic panel estimation; Arrelano-Bond; Indonesia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C29 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Other
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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