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Berufliche Weiterbildung und individuelle Arbeitslosigkeitsdauer in West- und Ostdeutschland : eine mikroökonometrische Analyse (Further vocational training and individual duration ofunemployment in western and eastern Germany : a micro-econometric analysis)

  • Hujer, Reinhard
  • Wellner, Marc
Registered author(s):

    "In this study a comparative empirical analysis of the effects of further vocational training on the individual duration of unemployment is carried out for western and eastern Germany. The information from the socio-economic panel for western Germany (1984-1994) and for eastern Germany (1990-1995) is used as a data basis. In addition to this there is a brief overview of the development of unemployment and the development of expenditure on further vocational training in order to make clear the relevance of the evaluation research for social policy. The modelling of the selection problem is done with the aid of matching approaches which are based on the estimation of a panel-probit model for the probability of participation. Discrete hazard rate models serve to determine the effects of further vocational training measures on the individual duration of unemployment. The empirical findings show a trend of positive effects for western Germany for courses lasting up to 6 months, which decrease, however, in the long-term (after 2 years). Courses lasting longer than 6 months, on the other hand, have no significant effects; they show more negative tendencies. For eastern Germany no significant effects can be observed, long courses also tend to have a negative effect. Owing to a lack of differentiated information about individual types of measure and the low case numbers in the samples, the empirical findings can be interpreted only as statements about trends." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    Article provided by Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany] in its journal Mitteilungen aus der Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung.

    Volume (Year): 33 (2000)
    Issue (Month): 3 ()
    Pages: 405-420

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    Handle: RePEc:iab:iabmit:v:2000:i:3:p:405-420
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    1. Brännäs, Kurt, 2000. "Estimation in a Duration Model for Evaluating Educational Programs," Umeå Economic Studies 521, Umeå University, Department of Economics.
    2. Lechner, Michael, 1996. "An Evaluation of Public Sector Sponsored Continuous Vocational Training Programs in East Germany," Discussion Papers 539, Institut fuer Volkswirtschaftslehre und Statistik, Abteilung fuer Volkswirtschaftslehre.
    3. Orley Ashenfelter & David Card, 1984. "Using the Longitudinal Structure of Earnings to Estimate the Effect of Training Programs," Working Papers 554, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section..
    4. Lechner, Michael, 1999. "Earnings and Employment Effects of Continuous Off-the-Job Training in East Germany after Unification," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 17(1), pages 74-90, January.
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    10. Bruce D. Meyer, 1988. "Unemployment Insurance And Unemployment Spells," NBER Working Papers 2546, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Heckman, James J. & Lalonde, Robert J. & Smith, Jeffrey A., 1999. "The economics and econometrics of active labor market programs," Handbook of Labor Economics, in: O. Ashenfelter & D. Card (ed.), Handbook of Labor Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 31, pages 1865-2097 Elsevier.
    12. Joachim Inkmann, 1999. "Misspecified heteroskedasticity in the panel probit model: A small sample comparison of GMM and SML estimators," Finance 9904003, EconWPA.
    13. Ham, John C & LaLonde, Robert J, 1996. "The Effect of Sample Selection and Initial Conditions in Duration Models: Evidence from Experimental Data on Training," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(1), pages 175-205, January.
    14. Card, David & Sullivan, Daniel G, 1988. "Measuring the Effect of Subsidized Training Programs on Movements in and out of Employment," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 56(3), pages 497-530, May.
    15. Bonnal, Liliane & Fougere, Denis & Serandon, Anne, 1997. "Evaluating the Impact of French Employment Policies on Individual Labour Market Histories," Review of Economic Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 64(4), pages 683-713, October.
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