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The current situation and some key trends and challenges in Russia's transport sector in 2025

Author

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  • Andrey Makarov

    (Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy)

Abstract

By the end of 2025, the Russian transportation system will see a slight decline in transportation volumes. Freight turnover for all modes of transport in January-September 2025 decreased by approximately 1-2% with a slight reduction in freight volumes, reflecting a contraction in demand for logistics against the backdrop of high rates and a slowdown in economic growth. In the meantime, there's been a shift in traffic to the eastern and southern corridors, with seaports in the Far East basin playing a bigger role. The passenger segment is showing mixed dynamics: total passenger traffic for the first nine months of 2025 reached approximately 7.6 billion people, with growth in certain segments, but air traffic is showing a slight decline (2–4%). There is a growing trend towards digitalization (TMS, platforms, AI routing), market consolidation around major players, and the development of regional transport connectivity through large-scale government investment in the transport industry (approximately Rb1.5 trillion in 2025 and another Rb6 trillion by 2028).

Suggested Citation

  • Andrey Makarov, 2025. "The current situation and some key trends and challenges in Russia's transport sector in 2025," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 29, pages 1-4, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gai:monreo:monreo-2025-29-1473
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    JEL classification:

    • L9 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities
    • L91 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Transportation: General
    • L92 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Railroads and Other Surface Transportation
    • L93 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Air Transportation
    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise

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