Loss-given-default on farm real estate loans: probability of full recovery
The non-depreciability characteristic of farmland value implies that farm delinquencies and default may not necessarily lead to loan loss. Considering this, a model under the framework of Value-at-Risk is developed to estimate probabilities of debt coverage by farmland that is mortgaged to secure a loan. Loss-given-default (LGD) under collateral risk is conceptualized and empirical estimation of land values considering time pattern and uncertainty is proposed. Given different economic situations, the probabilities of full recovery of loan balances under both loan-level and portfolio specifications are estimated using USDA data from selected states and regions. Results indicate that farmland pledged as collateral is expected to cover the loan balance with relatively high probability.
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.
Volume (Year): 66 (2006)
Issue (Month): 1 (May)
|Contact details of provider:|| Web page: http://www.emeraldinsight.com|
|Order Information:|| Postal: Emerald Group Publishing, Howard House, Wagon Lane, Bingley, BD16 1WA, UK|
Web: http://emeraldgrouppublishing.com/products/journals/journals.htm?id=afr Email:
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eme:afrpps:v:66:y:2006:i:1:p:47-59. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Louise Lister)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.