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Unemployment Policy Model via Multistage Stochastic Programming

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  • Petr Chovanec

Abstract

In this paper, there is proposed a model of unemployment policy for institution that has to reduce unemployment's costs, but it cannot change the governmental policy. This institution has also to pay every month for subsidized workplaces otherwise it has to compensate the worker for releasing her/him. The model uses a "socially critical" rate of unemployment, the rate which should be reduced at all costs. This problem can be seen as the problem of multistage stochastic programming because the compensation of the worker can be cheaper than paying the subsidy every month. The model is demonstrated on the Most region (the Czech region facing the worst unemployment situation), and the four-stage model is solved using scenario-based method in the GAMS language on NEOS system.

Suggested Citation

  • Petr Chovanec, 2004. "Unemployment Policy Model via Multistage Stochastic Programming," Bulletin of the Czech Econometric Society, The Czech Econometric Society, vol. 11(21).
  • Handle: RePEc:czx:journl:v:11:y:2004:i:21:id:137
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    File URL: http://ces.utia.cas.cz/bulletin/index.php/bulletin/article/view/137
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dirk Tasche, 2004. "The single risk factor approach to capital charges in case of correlated loss given default rates," Papers cond-mat/0402390, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2004.
    2. Konstantin Belyaev & Aelita Belyaeva & Tomas Konecny & Jakub Seidler & Martin Vojtek, 2012. "Macroeconomic Factors as Drivers of LGD Prediction: Empirical Evidence from the Czech Republic," Working Papers 2012/12, Czech National Bank, Research Department.
    3. Acharya, Viral V. & Bharath, Sreedhar T. & Srinivasan, Anand, 2007. "Does industry-wide distress affect defaulted firms? Evidence from creditor recoveries," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(3), pages 787-821, September.
    4. Jiri Witzany, 2011. "A Two Factor Model for PD and LGD Correlation," Bulletin of the Czech Econometric Society, The Czech Econometric Society, vol. 18(28).
    5. Jon Frye, 2000. "Depressing recoveries," Emerging Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue Oct.
    6. Stefano Caselli & Stefano Gatti & Francesca Querci, 2008. "The Sensitivity of the Loss Given Default Rate to Systematic Risk: New Empirical Evidence on Bank Loans," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 34(1), pages 1-34, August.
    7. Seidler, Jakub & Horvath, Roman & JakubĂ­k, Petr, 2009. "Estimating expected loss given default in an emerging market: the case of Czech Republic," Journal of Financial Transformation, Capco Institute, vol. 27, pages 103-107.
    8. De Graeve, F. & Kick, T. & Koetter, M., 2008. "Monetary policy and financial (in)stability: An integrated micro-macro approach," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 205-231, September.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Multistage stochastic programming problem; social policy; unemployment problem;

    JEL classification:

    • C44 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Operations Research; Statistical Decision Theory

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