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Portugal: Über die Verhältnisse gelebt

Listed author(s):
  • Oscar-Erich Kuntze
Registered author(s):

    In Portugal war das Wirtschaftswachstum 1999 bis weit in das erste Halbjahr hinein durch externe Faktoren spürbar gedämpft worden. Auch die Inlandsnachfrage verlor vorübergehend an Schwung. Das Land lebte über seine Verhältnisse, was sich in der weiteren erheblichen Verschlechterung der Leistungsbilanz sowie in der rapide steigenden Verschuldung der privaten Haushalte zeigte. Auf dem Arbeitsmarkt verbesserte sich allerdings die Lage. Die Arbeitslosenquote ging im Jahresdurchschnitt um 0,7 Prozentpunkte auf 4,5% zurück. Im Jahr 2000 dürfte das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt um reichlich 3% expandieren, die Arbeitslosenquote aber nur geringfügig auf knapp 4 1/2 % zurückgehen und die Teuerungsrate bei 2 3/4 % gegenüber dem Vorjahr liegen. Im Verlauf des nächsten Jahres wird die Konjunktur von der Weltwirtschaft spürbar schwächere Impulse als im laufenden Jahr erhalten. Das reale BIP dürfte um etwa 2 3/4 % zunehmen und die Arbeitslosenquote bei knapp 4 1/2 % verharren.

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    Article provided by ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

    Volume (Year): 53 (2000)
    Issue (Month): 35-36 (January)
    Pages: 35-40

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    Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:53:y:2000:i:35-36:p:35-40
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