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Listed author(s):
  • Oscar-Erich Kuntze
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    1999 nahm das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt (BIP) mit etwa 1 1/2% schwächer zu als 1998 (2,1%). Die Arbeitslosenquote sank um 1,2 Prozentpunkte auf 2,7% im Jahresdurchschnitt; 1997 hatte die Quote noch 5,2% betragen. Verschiedene Indikatoren sprechen dafür, dass sich die gesamtwirtschaftliche Aufwärtsentwicklung im Jahr 2000 leicht beschleunigt fortsetzt. Treibende Kraft ist nun wieder der Export. Das reale BIP dürfte um rund 2% expandieren. Bei zunehmender Knappheit an Fachkräften, ist mit einem Rückgang der Arbeitslosenquote auf nicht ganz 2 1/4% zu rechnen. Im Jahr 2001 wird die Konjunktur zwar kaum noch von der Wirtschaftspolitik gestützt, das reale BIP dürfte sich aber um ca. 2 1/4 % erhöhen. Die Arbeitslosenquote könnte auf knapp 1 3/4% sinken.

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    Article provided by ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

    Volume (Year): 53 (2000)
    Issue (Month): 05-06 (February)
    Pages: 27-36

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    Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:53:y:2000:i:05-06:p:27-36
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