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Arbeitseinkommensquote sinkt weiter : Signal für höhere Lohnsteigerungen?

  • Wolfgang Nierhaus

    ()

Seit 1993 hat in Deutschland der Anteil der Löhne am Volkseinkommen ständig abgenommen. 1998 dürfte die Arbeitseinkommensquote mit 76,5% einen neuen Tiefpunkt erreichen. Mit Hilfe einer statistischen Zerlegung der Quote wird in dem Beitrag nachgewiesen, daß diese Entwicklung nicht als Signal für einen lohnpolitischen Kurswechsel interpretiert werden darf. Vielmehr muß zur nachhaltigen Besserung der Lage am Arbeitsmarkt an der Lohnzurückhaltung festgehalten werden, das bedeutet Tarifabschlüsse, die weiterhin unterhalb des Produktivitätsfortschritts liegen. Allerdings sollte der Staat möglichst rasch die negativen Anreize beseitigen, die vom Abgaben- und Transfersystem ausgehen.

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Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

Volume (Year): 51 (1998)
Issue (Month): 34-35 (October)
Pages: 17-24

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Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:51:y:1998:i:34-35:p:17-24
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