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Demographisch bedingte Arbeitslosigkeit in Deutschland


  • Adolf Wagner


Während der ifo Jahresversammlung 1994 vertrat der Direktor des Instituts für Angewandte Wirtschaftsforschung (IAW), Tübingen, Prof. Dr. Adolf Wagner, die Ansicht, daß die wachsende strukturelle Arbeitslosigkeit in Deutschland demographische Ursachen habe. Der Bericht faßt die Argumente und Berechnungen zur "bevölkerungsbedingten" Arbeitslosigkeit zusammen. Die Hauptaussage des Denk-Modells ist, daß die Beschäftigungs- und die Bevölkerungskomponente der Arbeitslosigkeit eine gleichgewichtige oder natürliche Arbeitslosenquote in Deutschland verursachen. Die Erkentnisse basieren auf Daten der Arbeitslosenquoten, Beschäftigungszahlen und Bevölkerungszahlen von 1960 bis 1994.

Suggested Citation

  • Adolf Wagner, 1994. "Demographisch bedingte Arbeitslosigkeit in Deutschland," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 47(25/26), pages 19-22, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:47:y:1994:i:25/26:p:19-22

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    Cited by:

    1. Klös Hans-Peter & Schnabel Claus, 2002. "Die EU-Beschäftigungslücken im Spiegei von Erwerbstätigenquoten / The EU Employment Gaps in the Mirror of Employment- Population Ratios," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 222(1), pages 80-97, February.
    2. Lampert Heinz, 2005. "Politikversagen als Ursache der deutschen Sozialstaatskrise / Political Failure as a Cause of the Crisis of the German Welfare State," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 225(1), pages 44-59, February.

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