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Deutschlandprognose 2008: Auftriebskräfte werden schwächer

Listed author(s):
  • Wolfgang Nierhaus


In Deutschland ist das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt im Jahr 2007 weiter kräftig gestiegen. Nach vorläufigen Angaben des Statistischen Bundesamts nahm es 2007 um 2,5% zu; kalenderbereinigt belief sich die Wachstumsrate auf 2,6 %. Im laufenden Jahr dürfte das Expansionstempo zunächst merklich schwächer sein, weil die Investitionstätigkeit aufgrund in das Jahr 2007 vorgezogener Projekte gedrückt wird. Insgesamt wird das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt in diesem Jahr um 1,8% expandieren (kalenderbereinigt um 1,5 %). Die Inflationsrate wird im Jahresdurchschnitt 2008 auf 2,3% steigen. Das staatliche Budget wird voraussichtlich wieder ein leichtes Defizit aufweisen, weil sich die staatliche Einnahmensituation nicht mehr weiter verbessert. Im Jahr 2009 dürfte der gesamtwirtschaftliche Auslastungsgrad nur noch stagnieren; das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt wird um 1,5% zunehmen (kalenderbereinigt um 1,6 %).

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Article provided by ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Dresden berichtet.

Volume (Year): 15 (2008)
Issue (Month): 01 (02)
Pages: 13-20

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Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:15:y:2008:i:01:p:13-20
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