IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/
MyIDEAS: Login to save this article or follow this journal

Deutsche Konjunkturperspektiven 2005/2006: langsame Erholung

  • Wolfgang Nierhaus

    ()

Die deutsche Wirtschaft befindet sich im Frühjahr 2005 in einer konjunkturellen Schwächephase, die im Lauf dieses Jahres allmählich überwunden werden dürfte. Die dämpfenden Einflüsse seitens der hohen Ölpreise lassen nach, und die retardierenden Effekte der vorangegangenen Aufwertung des Euro laufen aus. Zudem setzt sich die Expansion der Weltwirtschaft in zügigem Tempo fort. Das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt wird in diesem Jahr um 0,7 % zunehmen. Im Jahr 2006 dürfte der Anstieg 1,5% betragen. Auf dem Arbeitsmarkt wird die Entwicklung noch geraume Zeit durch die Umsetzung der Hartz-IVReformen geprägt. Nach der Jahresmitte 2005 dürfte es zu einem kräftigen Rückgang der Arbeitslosenzahl kommen, der auch im nächsten Jahr anhält. Die Beschäftigungslage wird sich allerdings nur leicht verbessern.

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.

File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/portal/page/portal/DocBase_Content/ZS/ZS-ifo_Dresden_berichtet/zs-drber-2005/ifodb_2005_3_18-24.pdf
Download Restriction: no

Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Dresden berichtet.

Volume (Year): 12 (2005)
Issue (Month): 03 (06)
Pages: 18-24

as
in new window

Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:12:y:2005:i:03:p:18-24
Contact details of provider: Postal: Poschingerstrasse 5, 81679 Munich, Germany
Phone: +49 (89) 9224-0
Fax: +49 (89) 985369
Web page: http://www.cesifo-group.de
Email:


More information through EDIRC

No references listed on IDEAS
You can help add them by filling out this form.

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:12:y:2005:i:03:p:18-24. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Klaus Wohlrabe)

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using RePEc data.