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Konjunkturperspektiven 2002/2003 : Aufschwung setzt sich durch

  • Wolfgang Nierhaus


Im Frühjahr 2002 steht die deutsche Wirtschaft vor einem konjunkturellen Aufschwung. Für ein Anspringen der Konjunktur spricht vor allem, dass sich Geschäftsklima, Produktions- und Exporterwartungen des verarbeitenden Gewerbes in den vergangenen Monaten deutlich verbessert haben. Maßgeblichen Anteil daran hat die Erholung der US-Konjunktur. Insgesamt wird das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt im Jahr 2002 um 0,9 % steigen, im nächsten Jahr um 2,4 %. Der Preisauftrieb bleibt moderat, die Inflationsrate wird in diesem und im nächsten Jahr rund 1,5 % betragen.

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Article provided by Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Dresden berichtet.

Volume (Year): 09 (2002)
Issue (Month): 03 (09)
Pages: 6-12

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Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:09:y:2002:i:03:p:6-12
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