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A Model for Estiamting the Probabilities of Soccer Game Results


  • Nissim Ben-David

    (Department of Economics and Finance, Emek Yezreel Academic College)


In this paper, using Israeli soccer tournament results from 2009/2010 and an ordered dependent estimation model I calculated for each team, in each game played during the season, the a priori probability of a win, loss or a tie as a function of lag performance. Given these probabilities, the average probability that each team would end a game with a win, loss or a tie can be calculated.

Suggested Citation

  • Nissim Ben-David, 2010. "A Model for Estiamting the Probabilities of Soccer Game Results," Journal of Gambling Business and Economics, University of Buckingham Press, vol. 4(3), pages 13-19, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:buc:jgbeco:v:4:y:2010:i:3:p:13-19

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    Soccer game; gambling;

    JEL classification:

    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism


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