IDEAS home Printed from
MyIDEAS: Log in (now much improved!) to save this article

Exchange Rate Volatility and the Timing of Foreign Direct Investment: Market-Seeking versus Export-Substituting

Listed author(s):
  • Chia-Ching Lin
  • Kun-Ming Chen
  • Hsiu-Hua Rau
Registered author(s):

    This paper examines the impact of exchange rate uncertainty on the timing of foreign direct investment (FDI) with heterogeneous investing motives. We first extend Dixit-Pindyck's real options model to show that while an increase in exchange rate volatility tends to delay FDI of a market-seeking firm, it might accelerate FDI of an export-substituting firm if the firm's degree of risk aversion is high enough. The rationale behind this finding is that a market-seeking FDI might increase the exposure of the firm's profits to exchange rate risk, while an export-substituting FDI might reduce it. Empirical evidence from a survival analysis based on firm-level data on the entry by Taiwanese firms into China over the period between 1987 and 2002 is consistent with the theory. These results reveal that the relationship between exchange rate uncertainty and FDI is crucially dependent on the motives of the investing firms. Copyright (C) 2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.

    If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.

    File URL:
    File Function: link to full text
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.

    Article provided by Wiley Blackwell in its journal Review of Development Economics.

    Volume (Year): 14 (2010)
    Issue (Month): s1 (August)
    Pages: 466-486

    in new window

    Handle: RePEc:bla:rdevec:v:14:y:2010:i:s1:p:466-486
    Contact details of provider: Web page:

    Order Information: Web:

    No references listed on IDEAS
    You can help add them by filling out this form.

    This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

    When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:rdevec:v:14:y:2010:i:s1:p:466-486. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Wiley-Blackwell Digital Licensing)

    or (Christopher F. Baum)

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

    If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using RePEc data.