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Intraday Market Behavior and the Extent of Feedback between S&P 500 Futures Prices and the S&P 500 Index


  • Kawaller, Ira G
  • Koch, Paul D
  • Koch, Timothy W


In this study we empirically examine the intraday lead/lag relation between S&P 500 futures prices and the S&P 500 index, and whether daily market characteristics are associated with changes in the relation. We estimate daily Geweke measues of feedback and regress time series of these measures on daily price volatility and volume characteristics. Results indicate that the contemporaneous price relation is substantive and that measures of contemporaneous feedback are positvely associated with the daily range of futures price. The primary implicaton is that the relation between cash and futures prices becomes stroner as futures price volatility increases. As volatility increases, information is being impounded at a faster rate so that futures and equity markets operate more closely as one market. Large futures price moves, by themselves, are not responsible for breakdowns in the stock-futures price relation.

Suggested Citation

  • Kawaller, Ira G & Koch, Paul D & Koch, Timothy W, 1993. "Intraday Market Behavior and the Extent of Feedback between S&P 500 Futures Prices and the S&P 500 Index," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 16(2), pages 107-121, Summer.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfnres:v:16:y:1993:i:2:p:107-21

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    Cited by:

    1. Helder SebastiĆ£o, 2008. "The partial adjustment factors of FTSE 100 stock index and stock index futures: The informational impact of electronic trading systems," GEMF Working Papers 2008-07, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
    2. Yi-Tsung Lee & Wei-Shao Wu & Yun Yang, 2013. "Informed Futures Trading and Price Discovery: Evidence from Taiwan Futures and Stock Markets," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 20(3), pages 219-242, September.
    3. Dogus EMIN, 2016. "Stock Market Co-Movement at the Disaggregated Level: Individual Stock Integration," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 66(2), pages 96-112, April.
    4. Chang, Charles & Lin, Emily, 2015. "Cash-futures basis and the impact of market maturity, informed trading, and expiration effects," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 197-213.

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