An Empirical Analysis of Analysts' Target Prices: Short-term Informativeness and Long-term Dynamics
Using a large database of analysts' target prices issued over the period 1997-1999, we examine short-term market reactions to target price revisions and long-term comovement of target and stock prices. We find a significant market reaction to the information contained in analysts' target prices, both unconditionally and conditional on contemporaneously issued stock recommendation and earnings forecast revisions. Using a cointegration approach, we analyze the long-term behavior of market and target prices. We find that, on average, the one-year-ahead target price is 28 percent higher than the current market price. Copyright (c) 2003 by the American Finance Association.
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Volume (Year): 58 (2003)
Issue (Month): 5 (October)
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