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The Long-Term Price-Earnings Ratio

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  • Keith Anderson
  • Chris Brooks

Abstract

The price-earnings effect has been thoroughly documented and is the subject of numerous academic studies. However, in existing research it has almost exclusively been calculated on the basis of the previous year's earnings. We show that the power of the effect has until now been seriously underestimated due to taking too short-term a view of earnings. Looking at all UK companies since 1975, using the traditional P/E ratio we find the difference in average annual returns between the value and glamour deciles to be 6%. This is similar to other authors' findings. We are able to almost double the value premium by calculating the P/E ratio using earnings averaged over the previous eight years. Copyright 2006 The Authors Journal compilation (c) 2006 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • Keith Anderson & Chris Brooks, 2006. "The Long-Term Price-Earnings Ratio," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(7-8), pages 1063-1086.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:33:y:2006-09:i:7-8:p:1063-1086
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Chen Xiang LIU & Mohamed El Hedi AROURI, 2008. "Stock craze: an empirical analysis of PER in Chinese equity market," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 14(1), pages 1-17.
    2. Leone, Vitor & de Medeiros, Otavio Ribeiro, 2015. "Signalling the Dotcom bubble: A multiple changes in persistence approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 77-86.
    3. PAOLA BRIGHI & STEFANO d'ADDONA & ANTONIO CARLO FRANCESCO DELLA BINA, 2013. "The Determinants of Risk Premia on the Italian Stock Market: Empirical Evidence on Common Factors in Asset Pricing Models," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 42(2), pages 103-133, July.
    4. Balafas, Nikolaos & Florackis, Chris, 2014. "CEO compensation and future shareholder returns: Evidence from the London Stock Exchange," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 97-115.
    5. Robert E. Houmes & Terrance R. Skantz, 2010. "Highly Valued Equity and Discretionary Accruals," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1-2), pages 60-92.
    6. Nicholas Apergis & Christis Hassapis & Christina Christou & Steve Johnson, 2015. "International Earnings To Price Ratio Convergence: Evidence From The European Union," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 9(5), pages 37-55.
    7. Mattias Hamberg & Jiri Novak, 2010. "Accounting Conservatism and Transitory Earnings in Value and Growth Strategies," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(5‐6), pages 518-537, June.
    8. Kateryna Shapovalova & Alexander Subbotin, 2007. "Investigating value and growth : what labels hide ?," Post-Print halshs-00188339, HAL.
    9. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:14:y:2008:i:1:p:1-17 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Eero Pätäri & Timo Leivo, 2017. "A Closer Look At Value Premium: Literature Review And Synthesis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 79-168, February.
    11. Paola Brighi & Stefano d'Addona & Antonio Carlo Francesco Della Bina, 2010. "Too Small or too Low? New Evidence on the 4-Factor Model," Working Paper series 31_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    12. Antonios Siganos, 2012. "Can retail investors exploit stock market anomalies?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(7), pages 537-547, April.
    13. Houmes, Robert & Chira, Inga, 2015. "The effect of ownership structure on the price earnings ratio — returns anomaly," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 140-147.

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