The Foreign Exchange Market: A Random Walk with a Dragging Anchor
This paper explores some anomalies in the foreign exchange market. It is hard to find evidence of either short-term overshooting or of longer-term reversion to an equilibrium. The forward exchange rate contains virtually no information on future spot rates. Discussions with practitioners indicate that longer-term speculation based on fundamentals is strictly limited, and survey data and other evidence suggest that expectations and speculation are based on a variety of models. The interplay between speculation based on fundamentals, and on a random walk, or Chartist, approach, influences the outcome. This endorses the prior model of J. A. Frankel and K. A. Froot. Copyright 1988 by The London School of Economics and Political Science.
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.
Volume (Year): 55 (1988)
Issue (Month): 220 (November)
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE|
Phone: +44 (020) 7405 7686
Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0013-0427
More information through EDIRC
|Order Information:||Web: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/subs.asp?ref=0013-0427|
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:econom:v:55:y:1988:i:220:p:437-60. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Wiley-Blackwell Digital Licensing)or (Christopher F. Baum)
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.