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Confidence Intervals For Corn Price And Utilization Forecasts


  • Teigen, Lloyd D.
  • Bell, Thomas M.


An approximate variance of forecast is derived based on the structural coefficients and the variance around the structural equations. For the corn model, standard error of price was estimated to be $0.23 per bushel when neither acreage nor yield are known and $0.11 per bushel when production is known.

Suggested Citation

  • Teigen, Lloyd D. & Bell, Thomas M., 1978. "Confidence Intervals For Corn Price And Utilization Forecasts," Agricultural Economics Research, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, issue 1.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:ueraer:148093

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    Cited by:

    1. Ferris, John N., 2006. "Forecasting World Crop Yields as Probability Distributions," Staff Papers 11740, Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics.
    2. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Sharp, Julia L., 2013. "Interval Forecast Comparison," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150791, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.


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