Comparing Possibly Misspecified Forecasts
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DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2019.1585256
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Cited by:
- Xenxo Vidal-Llana & Carlos Salort Sánchez & Vincenzo Coia & Montserrat Guillen, 2022. ""Non-Crossing Dual Neural Network: Joint Value at Risk and Conditional Tail Expectation estimations with non-crossing conditions"," IREA Working Papers 202215, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Oct 2022.
- Llorens-Terrazas, Jordi & Brownlees, Christian, 2023. "Projected Dynamic Conditional Correlations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1761-1776.
- Patrick Schmidt & Matthias Katzfuss & Tilmann Gneiting, 2021. "Interpretation of point forecasts with unknown directive," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(6), pages 728-743, September.
- Alexander Henzi & Johanna F Ziegel, 2022. "Valid sequential inference on probability forecast performance [A comparison of the ECMWF, MSC, and NCEP global ensemble prediction systems]," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 109(3), pages 647-663.
- Fissler Tobias & Ziegel Johanna F., 2021. "On the elicitability of range value at risk," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 38(1-2), pages 25-46, January.
- Tobias Fissler & Jana Hlavinová & Birgit Rudloff, 2021. "Elicitability and identifiability of set-valued measures of systemic risk," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 133-165, January.
- Denuit, Michel & Trufin, Julien, 2022. "Autocalibration by balance correction in nonlife insurance pricing," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2022041, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
- Takaaki Koike & Cathy W. S. Chen & Edward M. H. Lin, 2024. "Forecasting and Backtesting Gradient Allocations of Expected Shortfall," Papers 2401.11701, arXiv.org.
- Alexander I. Jordan & Anja Mühlemann & Johanna F. Ziegel, 2022. "Characterizing the optimal solutions to the isotonic regression problem for identifiable functionals," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 74(3), pages 489-514, June.
- Cathy W. S. Chen & Takaaki Koike & Wei-Hsuan Shau, 2024. "Tail risk forecasting with semi-parametric regression models by incorporating overnight information," Papers 2402.07134, arXiv.org.
- Timo Dimitriadis & Andrew J. Patton & Patrick W. Schmidt, 2019.
"Testing Forecast Rationality for Measures of Central Tendency,"
Papers
1910.12545, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
- Dimitriadis, Timo & Patton, Andrew J. & Schmidt, Patrick W., 2020. "Testing forecast rationality for measures of central tendency," Hohenheim Discussion Papers in Business, Economics and Social Sciences 12-2020, University of Hohenheim, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences.
- Charles F. Manski, 2021.
"Econometrics for Decision Making: Building Foundations Sketched by Haavelmo and Wald,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(6), pages 2827-2853, November.
- Charles F. Manski, 2019. "Econometrics For Decision Making: Building Foundations Sketched By Haavelmo And Wald," NBER Working Papers 26596, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Charles F. Manski, 2019. "Econometrics For Decision Making: Building Foundations Sketched By Haavelmo And Wald," Papers 1912.08726, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
- Lazar, Emese & Wang, Shixuan & Xue, Xiaohan, 2023. "Loss function-based change point detection in risk measures," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 310(1), pages 415-431.
- Dong Hwan Oh & Andrew J. Patton, 2021. "Better the Devil You Know: Improved Forecasts from Imperfect Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-071, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Mucahit Aygun & Fabio Bellini & Roger J. A. Laeven, 2023. "Elicitability of Return Risk Measures," Papers 2302.13070, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
- Tobias Fissler & Yannick Hoga, 2021. "Backtesting Systemic Risk Forecasts using Multi-Objective Elicitability," Papers 2104.10673, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
- Boskabadi, Elahe, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and forecast bias in the survey of professional forecasters," MPRA Paper 115081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Valentina Corradi & Sainan Jin & Norman R. Swanson, 2023. "Robust forecast superiority testing with an application to assessing pools of expert forecasters," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 596-622, June.
- Yen, Yu-Min & Yen, Tso-Jung, 2021. "Testing forecast accuracy of expectiles and quantiles with the extremal consistent loss functions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 733-758.
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