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Sovereign indebtedness and financial and fiscal conditions

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  • António Afonso
  • João Tovar Jalles

Abstract

We empirically assess the magnitudes of sovereign indebtedness responses for a sample of 123 Advanced and Emerging Market Economies, between 1980 and 2018, taking into account the changing characteristics of financial markets, notably the Global and Financial Crisis. Our results show that when the financial conditions are more stressful, for instance, higher yield spreads or a heightened degree of financial stress, fiscal authorities use more actively their primary balance to reduce sovereign indebtedness, which is not the case when financial market conditions are more benign. This is notably true for the case of Emerging Market Economies sovereigns, who most likely then struggle more to fund themselves.

Suggested Citation

  • António Afonso & João Tovar Jalles, 2020. "Sovereign indebtedness and financial and fiscal conditions," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(19), pages 1611-1616, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:19:p:1611-1616
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1707758
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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