IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/sistpr/v24y2021i2d10.1007_s11203-020-09233-1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

How to test that a given process is an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process

Author

Listed:
  • Estate V. Khmaladze

    (Victoria University of Wellington)

Abstract

We show asymptotic distributions of the residual process in Ornstein–Uhlenbeck model, when the model is true. These distributions are of Brownian motion and of Brownian bridge, depending on whether we estimate one parameter or two. This leads to seemingly simple asymptotic theory of goodness of fit tests based on this process. However, next we show that the residual process would lead to a deficient testing procedures, unless a transformed form of it is introduced. The transformed process is introduced and their role is explained through connection with what is known for the so called chimeric alternatives in testing problems for samples.

Suggested Citation

  • Estate V. Khmaladze, 2021. "How to test that a given process is an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 405-419, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:sistpr:v:24:y:2021:i:2:d:10.1007_s11203-020-09233-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s11203-020-09233-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11203-020-09233-1
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11203-020-09233-1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ilia Negri & Yoichi Nishiyama, 2009. "Goodness of fit test for ergodic diffusion processes," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 61(4), pages 919-928, December.
    2. Youri Davydov, 2001. "Remarks on Estimation Problem for Stationary Processes in Continuous Time," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 1-15, January.
    3. M. Kleptsyna & Yu. Kutoyants, 2014. "On asymptotically distribution free tests with parametric hypothesis for ergodic diffusion processes," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 295-319, October.
    4. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Fan, Jianqing & Peng, Heng, 2009. "Nonparametric Transition-Based Tests for Jump Diffusions," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(487), pages 1102-1116.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Maroua Ben Abdeddaiem, 2016. "On goodness-of-fit tests for parametric hypotheses in perturbed dynamical systems using a minimum distance estimator," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 259-287, October.
    2. Chen, Qiang & Zheng, Xu & Pan, Zhiyuan, 2015. "Asymptotically distribution-free tests for the volatility function of a diffusion," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(1), pages 124-144.
    3. Kristensen, Dennis, 2011. "Semi-nonparametric estimation and misspecification testing of diffusion models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(2), pages 382-403, October.
    4. Zongwu Cai & Hongwei Mei & Rui Wang, 2024. "Model Specification Tests of Heterogenous Agent Models with Aggregate Shocks under Partial Information," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202405, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2024.
    5. Monsalve-Cobis, Abelardo & González-Manteiga, Wenceslao & Febrero-Bande, Manuel, 2011. "Goodness-of-fit test for interest rate models: An approach based on empirical processes," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(12), pages 3073-3092, December.
    6. Chen, Bin & Song, Zhaogang, 2013. "Testing whether the underlying continuous-time process follows a diffusion: An infinitesimal operator-based approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 173(1), pages 83-107.
    7. Mammen, Enno & Van Keilegom, Ingrid & Yu, Kyusang, 2013. "Expansion for Moments of Regression Quantiles with Applications to Nonparametric Testing," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2013027, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    8. Wenceslao González-Manteiga & Rosa Crujeiras, 2013. "Rejoinder on: An updated review of Goodness-of-Fit tests for regression models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 22(3), pages 442-447, September.
    9. Yuping Song & Weijie Hou & Zhengyan Lin, 2022. "Double Smoothed Volatility Estimation of Potentially Non‐stationary Jump‐diffusion Model of Shibor," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(1), pages 53-82, January.
    10. Marcelo Fernandes & Eduardo Mendes & Olivier Scaillet, 2015. "Testing for symmetry and conditional symmetry using asymmetric kernels," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 67(4), pages 649-671, August.
    11. M. Kleptsyna & Yu. Kutoyants, 2014. "On asymptotically distribution free tests with parametric hypothesis for ergodic diffusion processes," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 295-319, October.
    12. Corradi, Valentina & Swanson, Norman R., 2011. "Predictive density construction and accuracy testing with multiple possibly misspecified diffusion models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 161(2), pages 304-324, April.
    13. Cai, Lili & Swanson, Norman R., 2011. "In- and out-of-sample specification analysis of spot rate models: Further evidence for the period 1982-2008," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 743-764, September.
    14. Chen, Songxi & Peng, Liang & Yu, Cindy, 2013. "Parameter Estimation and Model Testing for Markov Processes via Conditional Characteristic Functions," MPRA Paper 46273, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Dabye, A.S. & Kutoyants, Yu.A. & Tanguep, E.D., 2019. "On APF test for Poisson process with shift and scale parameters," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 28-36.
    16. Li, Yan & Yang, Liyan, 2011. "Testing conditional factor models: A nonparametric approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 972-992.
    17. repec:wyi:journl:002117 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Chen, Bin & Hong, Yongmiao, 2014. "A unified approach to validating univariate and multivariate conditional distribution models in time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P1), pages 22-44.
    19. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Kalnina, Ilze & Xiu, Dacheng, 2020. "High-frequency factor models and regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 216(1), pages 86-105.
    20. Kristensen, Dennis, 2010. "Pseudo-maximum likelihood estimation in two classes of semiparametric diffusion models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 156(2), pages 239-259, June.
    21. Su, Liangjun & White, Halbert, 2014. "Testing conditional independence via empirical likelihood," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 27-44.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:sistpr:v:24:y:2021:i:2:d:10.1007_s11203-020-09233-1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.