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Transition in a Bubble Economy

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  • Josef C. Brada
  • Trajko Slaveski

Abstract

Although there is a large body of literature examining the negative effects of the global financial crisis on transition economies, the global financial bubble that preceded the crisis had a large positive impact on the productive capacity of these countries, both by increasing the pace of capital formation and by accelerating the growth of productivity. At the same time, through different channels, the global bubble also ensured that there was sufficient demand for the goods produced by the new capacity, thus creating a temporary high-output equilibrium. In the future, a new growth model, one based more on domestic resources, will be needed in transition economies, and policymakers should be cautious in judging the ability of their past policies to promote good economic performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Josef C. Brada & Trajko Slaveski, 2012. "Transition in a Bubble Economy," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(S4), pages 7-13, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:48:y:2012:i:s4:p:7-13
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. PIROVANO Mara & VANNESTE, Jacques & VAN POECK, André, 2009. "Portfolio and short-term capital inflows to the new and potential EU countries: Patterns, determinants and policy responses," Working Papers 2009018, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    2. Zuzana Brixiova & Laura Vartia & Andreas Wörgötter, 2009. "Capital Inflows, Household Debt and the Boom-bust Cycle in Estonia," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 700, OECD Publishing.
    3. Arjana BREZIGAR-MASTEN & Fabrizio CORICELLI & Igor MASTEN, 2009. "Financial integration and financial development in transition economies: What happens during financial crises?," RSCAS Working Papers 2009/49, European University Institute.
    4. Mileva, Elitza, 2008. "The impact of capital flows on domestic investment in transition economies," Working Paper Series 871, European Central Bank.
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    Cited by:

    1. El-hadj Bah & Josef C. Brada, 2014. "Labor Markets in the Transition Economies: An Overview," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 11(1), pages 3-53, June.
    2. Brada, Josef C. & Gajewski, Paweł & Kutan, Ali M., 2021. "Economic resiliency and recovery, lessons from the financial crisis for the COVID-19 pandemic: A regional perspective from Central and Eastern Europe," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    3. Maciej Stefański, 2020. "To What Extent does Convergence Explain the Slowdown in Potential Growth of the CEE Countries Following the Global Financial Crisis?," KAE Working Papers 2020-058, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    4. Liudmila Malyshava, 2018. "External Instability in Transition: Applying Minsky's Theory of Financial Fragility to International Markets," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_909, Levy Economics Institute.

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