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Exchange Rate Variability and Labor Market Performance in the Visegrád Countries

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  • Ansgar Belke
  • Ralph Setzer

Abstract

According to the traditional ‘optimum currency area’ approach, not much will be lost from a very hard peg to a currency union if there has been little reason for variations in the exchange rate. This paper takes a different approach and highlights the fact that high exchange rate volatility may as well signal high costs for labor markets. Based on the paper by Belke (2003), the impact of exchange rate volatility on labor markets in the four Visegrád Economies (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and the Slovak Republic) is analyzed, finding that volatility vis-à-vis the euro significantly increases unemployment. Hence, the elimination of exchange rate volatility could be considered as a substitute for a removal of employment protection legislation. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 2003

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  • Ansgar Belke & Ralph Setzer, 2003. "Exchange Rate Variability and Labor Market Performance in the Visegrád Countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 153-175, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:ecopln:v:36:y:2003:i:2:p:153-175
    DOI: 10.1023/B:ECOP.0000012255.94499.b2
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    Cited by:

    1. Demir, Firat, 2010. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Employment Growth in Developing Countries: Evidence from Turkey," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 38(8), pages 1127-1140, August.
    2. Ansgar Belke & Ralph Setzer, 2004. "Contagion, herding and exchange-rate instability — A survey," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 39(4), pages 222-228, July.
    3. Christoph S. Weber, 2020. "The unemployment effect of central bank transparency," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2947-2975, December.
    4. Thi Hong Hanh Pham, 2018. "Liquidity and exchange rate volatility," Working Papers halshs-01708633, HAL.
    5. Weber, Christoph S., 2019. "The effect of central bank transparency on exchange rate volatility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 165-181.
    6. Eleana Lici & Irena Boboli, 2015. "Concentration and Competition in the Albanian Banking Sector," European Journal of Economics and Business Studies Articles, Revistia Research and Publishing, vol. 1, May - Aug.
    7. Achouak Barguellil, 2021. "The Asymmetric Indirect Impact of Real Exchange Rate on Economic Growth through Foreign Trade: An Asymmetric ARDL Panel Model," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 11(8), pages 658-671, August.
    8. Juraj Stanèík, 2007. "Determinants of Exchange-Rate Volatility: The Case of the New EU Members," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 57(9-10), pages 414-432, October.
    9. Albrecht, Peter & Kočenda, Evžen, 2024. "Volatility connectedness on the central European forex markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    10. Shu-Chen Chang & Chung-Hua Shen, 2011. "The effect of exchange-rate uncertainty on unemployment in three developing Asian countries: evidence from bivariate GARCH approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(8), pages 783-788.

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