IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/jre/issued/v33n12011p49-72.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Lumber Futures and Timberland Investment

Author

Listed:
  • Sherwood Clements

    (Georgia State University)

  • Alan J. Ziobrowski

    (Georgia State University)

  • Mark Holder

    (Kent State University)

Abstract

Using 20 years of data, we derive a pricing model for timberland market values. We examine the relationship between lumber futures, capitalization rates, anticipated inflation, anticipated construction and timberland value. Using an ordinary least squares regression model and Johansen’s cointegration technique, we find that timberland market values have a long-run significant positive equilibrium relationship with lumber futures, and building permits. Capitalization rates have a significant negative relationship as expected. In the short run, unanticipated shocks in the independent variables provide a permanent change in timberland market values.

Suggested Citation

  • Sherwood Clements & Alan J. Ziobrowski & Mark Holder, 2011. "Lumber Futures and Timberland Investment," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 33(1), pages 49-72.
  • Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:33:n:1:2011:p:49-72
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://pages.jh.edu/jrer/papers/pdf/past/vol33n01/03.49_72.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mei, Bin, 2019. "Timberland investments in the United States: A review and prospects," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    2. Shikong Luo & Alan Tidwell & Sherwood Clements, 2022. "Does Political Uncertainty Affect Residential Development?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 65(4), pages 572-592, November.
    3. Zhang, Nan & Mei, Bin & Li, Yanshu, 2023. "A review of the financial performance of lumber futures and some prospects," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    4. Clements, Sherwood & Tidwell, Alan & Jin, Changha, 2017. "Futures markets and real estate public equity: Connectivity of lumber futures and Timber REITs," Journal of Forest Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 70-79.
    5. Mei, Bin & Clutter, Michael L., 2020. "Return and information transmission of public and private timberland markets in the United States," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    6. Gao, Lei & Mei, Bin, 2013. "Investor attention and abnormal performance of timberland investments in the United States," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 60-65.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:33:n:1:2011:p:49-72. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: JRER Graduate Assistant/Webmaster (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.aresnet.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.